If the LOX is not depleted, and the relied valves don't work, the stage can eventually burst by overpressure. Sent from my iPhone On Oct 1, 2013, at 12:37 PM, Henry Vanderbilt <hvanderbilt@xxxxxxxxxxxxxx> wrote: > On 10/1/2013 8:42 AM, Rand Simberg wrote: > > SpaceX is denying it, claiming that initial tracking data is always a > > little flaky. And what could cause an explosion? It has no hypergolics > > on it, AFAIK. > > > > A quick search gives numerous references to the F9 second stage using four > Draco hypergolic engines for reaction control. Said quick search showed > nothing about that having been eliminated for this new version, FWIW. > > Regardless, an obvious non-RCS candidate for a second-stage explosion here > would be a severe hard (re)start of the second-stage main engine. (Purely > speculative at this point, but clean restarts of LOX-kero engines depend > considerably on complete purging of kerosene from engine passages after the > first run. There is a strong incentive to minimize use of purge gas in a > flight vehicle in order to minimize the mass of pressure bottles carried > along, and thus to implement the minimum purge that works reliably on a test > stand. But kerosene is in general difficult to purge, and such purging > quite plausibly may not work the same way in free-fall and vacuum as it does > at 1 G on a test stand. As I said though, purely speculative at this point.) > > Another more generic possibility here is damage to the second stage occurring > at payload separation - not of course then an issue for missions requiring a > second burn before payload separation. > > I would only conclude at this point that the problem was not a subtle one, > given SpaceX's statement that they already know what it is and don't expect > any trouble fixing it. > > In general, I don't at all blame SpaceX for minimizing comment on the matter > till more data is in. Rocket operators in general go a long way out of their > way to avoid ever using the word "explosion" in connection with their > operations, and for good reason. But in this case, between the new orbital > object distribution spotted and the South African spherical-venting-cloud > photos, I'd have to say a stage explosion is a distinct possibility. > > Henry V > >> On 10/01/2013 07:41 AM, Henry Spencer wrote: >>> Another little fly in the ointment: <http://www.zarya.info/blog/?p=1595> >>> reports indications that the Falcon 9 second stage may have exploded in >>> orbit, although after payload separation. Which is not as bad as having >>> it happen with payloads still on board, but certainly isn't good news. >>> >>> Henry Spencer >>> >>> henry@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx >>> >>> (hspencer@xxxxxxxxxxxxx) >>> >>> (regexpguy@xxxxxxxxx) >